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November 12, 2007

One But Not Done

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If undefeated Ohio State or Kansas stumbles, it will fall into the cluster of one-loss teams fighting for a berth in the BCS title game. (The only other unbeaten, Hawaii , has virtually no chance because of its weak schedule.) Here are the one-loss teams (with their BCS rank), listed in order of their chances of getting into the championship game.

No. 2 LSU (8--1) LOST TO: Kentucky
COMMENT: SEC schedule is so strong that if Tigers win out, they might even edge an undefeated Kansas

No. 3 OREGON (8--1) LOST TO: Cal
COMMENT: Remaining slate—at Arizona , at UCLA , Oregon State—gives Ducks good chance to run table

No. 5 OKLAHOMA (8--1) LOST TO: Colorado
COMMENT: Nov. 17 game at high-scoring Texas Tech (7--3) a dangerous matchup for Sooners

No. 6 MISSOURI (8--1) LOST TO: Oklahoma
COMMENT: Wins over Kansas and in the Big 12 title game ( Oklahoma ?) would give Tigers a major strength-of-schedule lift

No. 7 WEST VIRGINIA (7--1) LOST TO: South Florida
COMMENT: Three of last four are at home, but Mountaineers might be hurt by not playing a conference title game

No. 9 ARIZONA STATE (8--1) LOST TO: Oregon
COMMENT: Needs a lot of help to get to championship game, but Rose Bowl is still very much in play

No. 13 CONNECTICUT (8--1) LOST TO: Virginia
COMMENT: Road games against Cincinnati (7--2) and West Virginia (7--1) make BCS bowl a long shot

No. 8 BOSTON COLLEGE (8--1) LOST TO: Florida State
COMMENT: Losing to unranked Seminoles so late in season probably knocks Eagles out of national title picture

No. 20 BOISE STATE (8--1) LOST TO: Washington
COMMENT: Broncos need an even bigger miracle than the one they pulled off in last season's Fiesta Bowl

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